Article 79 (3) of the German Basic Law: The ultimate firewall for a Constitution of Liberty against a Road to Serfdom and limits on digitalised centralisation? How the Democratic State and Spontaneous Order can keep each other in check

The establishment of the European Union has had a strong correlation with developments in the German Basic Law that has been in place since 1949. The first notes on the European Union. The most recent version we could find dates to 22 March 2025 and covers the 21st electoral term. It can be found over here:

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Money as the barometer of a society's virtue and vice: The Efficient Market Hypothesis; State Aid and Monte dei Paschi's share price, NPEs and (Alexandria-Santorini) derivatives; EU AML and a web comprising Parex, ABLV, Pilatus, the Yorgen Fenech trial, 17 Black & Egrant

Attention: This article is a long-read of about 5,500 words and contains in-depth analysis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis and historical interpretations; State Aid and Monte Dei Paschi's accounting; aspects of the Egrant inquiry and the trial of Mr. Yorgen Fenech, Parex bail-out and suspicious transactions involving former Pilatus Bank. Several account numbers from Pilatus bank caught our attention, which can be found on page 949 of the Egrant inquiry. 

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The concept of Social Contract and State Capture in relation to Calibrated Capitalism

Social Contract theory has existed for several centuries already. Notwithstanding that contracts of the more tribal variant have existed for millennia, early research on the topic was conducted by scientists like David Hume and John Locke, reaching diverging conclusions. Whereas David Hume has become known for his rejection of social contract as a necessity for rightful government (https://doi.org/10.2307/2219359) , John Locke holds an opposing view that Social Contract is a requirement and that individuals have inalienable natural rights to life and property. He defined a social contract as follows in his 1690 treatise: "an agreement among individuals to unite into one community and establish a government." (quoted from polsci.institute). He holds that individuals live in a state of nature, yet have no recourse in themselves to uphold that state, and are better off by forming agreement and thus a State. Other thinkers like Jean-Jacques Rousseau describe Social Contract in terms of a general will directing the people, in which all private interests are ideally abolished, mostly based on liberty and equality.

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Short-note on Margaret Thatcher's 'Statecraft': A five-factor input that could be used for econometric research

Statecraft is a 2002 political volume written by former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, who served from 1979 till 1990. Her legacy has faced both strong support as well as opposition, yet it stands out that she left a lasting mark on Western democracies and their economies and emerged victoriously out of the Cold War. The book covers a range of topics, from Cold War challenges to domestic issues in the UK, human rights and wrongs, and post-Soviet crisis situations in Eastern Europe. This note focuses on Chapter 11 named 'Capitalism and its Critics'.

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The German Constitution of 1949 and the Chilean Constitution of 1980: Two Magna Cartae and the 'Prussian' element in relation to "The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism"; A short comparative analysis and suggestions for synchronising Liberal Democracy with Liberal Capitalism in the 21st Century

'The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism' is a book written by Professor Martin Wolf in 2023 and highlights a serious problem: He argues that Democracy and Capitalism need each other for both to function well and hence for society to be free, yet the marriage between these two is under pressure. This article provides an analysis of his book, as well as a short comparative study between two legal building blocks. There are two constitutions that are in particular relevant for Capitalism, Liberal Democracy, the EU and the Euro. These are as follows and are explained below : i) the German Constitution of 1949 and ii) the Chilean Constitution of 1980. The first one was adopted after World War II in response to Nazi tyranny, and is a leading legal framework for liberalism under democracy, and hence also for EU law. The second one was adopted under authoritarian rule, following disharmony between different social classes in Chile and a violent overthrow of government, and is controversial for good reasons. This article by Forbes provides clues https://www.forbes.com/sites/jameshenry/2011/09/10/the-other-september-11/. Its historical significance is in the fact that the regime provided a leading legal framework for global liberal capitalism since the Cold War. Part i) gives an analysis of 'The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism', Part ii) analyses the German constitution of 1949 and Part iii) analyses the Chilean Constitution of 1980. Part iv) links core findings together and Part v) concludes. 

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Ergodicity explained through a simple econometric model

Every society (to the extent that there is such a thing) has its own set of values based on which decisions are made. Let us call the place for those decisions the economic system, and secondly, let us assume that this system follows a dynamic model. It can then be said that the system is ergodic when the set of values underneath have been accurately incorporated into the systemic model and have sufficient explanatory value so as to conduct decisions based on it 'ad infinitum'. In that case, there is ergodicity. Of course this is an immense oversimplification because it assumes that a system can be explained by a single model, which is certainly not the case at macro-economic level. The logic serves the purpose of this article.  

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El Ladrillo (The Brick) - a key document behind the global Unipolar economic model

El ladrillo was an economic programme composed by economists who studied at the Catholic University of Chile, later known as the Chicago boys, due to their training at and connections with the Chicago School of Economics. It contained a plan for structural overhaul of the Chilean economy, which was introduced under a repressive authoritarian rule, and remains controversial till this day. The document itself has had significant impact on the shape of the Chilean economy and also the global unipolar model that underpinned the era since the Cold War. Remodelling the Neoliberal model put in place by it is an important topic of current economic research. The document can be found below and was downloaded from https://www.memoriachilena.gob.cl/

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Neoliberalism and Social Market Economy explained by Chicago Boy Rolf Lüders: Relevance for the EU in understanding the early stage and later stage variant (excerpt from Buenos Aires Times, 3 nov 2025)

Below is a link to an interview with one of the last 'Chicago Boys', Rolf Luders. He explains both the concepts of Neoliberalism and Social Market Economy, implementation changes in 1982 in Chile and how it differs from the unrestrained 'libertarian capitalism' without/with technically no State and why it does not work according to him. The relevance of this analysis for Calibrated Capitalism is that it sheds light on what challenges can be expected to this model in a liberal democratic context, how to protect it and what kind of risks there are on the outskirts, from competing models, or potential blowback from the rough edges of the earlier variant. This may be especially true for the Eurosystem as it has adopted this moderated social market economy that respects liberal democratic rules, while competing against autocracies and illiberal regimes. You can find the article below or read the excerpts. https://batimes.com.ar/news/economy/milton-friedmans-last-chicago-boy-has-warning-for-javier-milei.phtml

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